Linkathon!
After political violence,how do we love our enemies?
Christian duty in a spiral towards unrest…
Hibbs, Laurie, hope assassination attempt drives Trump to faith…
Violence is counter-productive…
Does the road to the end times travel through the Middle East?
Why God wants us to ask questions…
Taylor Swift and our tortured desires…
Hope beyond politics in Europe…
Political violence and a crucified Lord…
Churchgoers believe public perceptions of Christians is declining…
Christ fulfilled prophecy in detail…
Did this pastor correctly prophesy the assassination attempt on Trump?
Is it better if women take care of the home and family?
Galatians 3:28—Neither Male and Female…
What does the Bible say about life beginning at conception?
Western civilization is Christianity all the way down…
For my fans…Immigrants and crime from the New York Times:
Throughout the first three days of the Republican National Convention, officials have highlighted a surge in what they call “migrant crime.” President Biden “has welcomed into our country rapists, murderers, even terrorists, and the price that we have paid has been deadly,” Gov. Greg Abbott of Texas claimed last night. The day before, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas said, “Every day, Americans are dying” in crimes committed by migrants. Donald Trump has made similar remarks on the campaign trail.
But there is no migrant crime surge.
In fact, U.S. rates of crime and immigration have moved in opposite directions in recent years. After illegal immigration plummeted in 2020, the murder rate rose. And after illegal immigration spiked in 2021 and 2022, murders plateaued and then fell.
Over a longer period, there is no relationship between immigration and crime trends. The number of foreign-born Americans has increased for decades, while the murder rate has gone up and down at different times, as these charts by my colleague Ashley Wu show:
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| Source: U.S. Census Bureau; American Community Survey; Jeff Asher, F.B.I. | By The New York Times |
Yes, some migrants have committed violent crimes. There are more than 45 million immigrants in the U.S., and invariably some of them — just like people of any other group — will do bad things. Similarly, thousands of native-born Americans commit violent crimes in any given week.
Trump and other Republicans have suggested that immigrants are especially likely to be criminals. They point to a few anecdotes. But the data shows the opposite: Immigrants are less likely to commit crimes. There are genuine issues with the border and illegal immigration, but more crime is not one of them.
More migrants, less crime
If more immigration led to more crime, you would expect that crime rates would spike along with immigration flows, locally and nationally. The statistics would show that migrants were disproportionately likely to commit criminal or violent acts. Instead, the opposite is true.
New York, Chicago and Denver have had an influx of immigrants in the past couple years. Over that same period, murder rates in those cities have fallen. Similarly, border counties in Texas have lower violent crime rates than the state and country overall, the crime analyst Jeff Asher has found.
The individual crimes committed by migrants that Trump and his allies highlight simply do not add up to a bigger trend.
In reality, immigrants are less likely to commit crimes than people born in the U.S. Immigrants have had lower incarceration rates — a measure for crime — than native-born Americans for at least 150 years, a recent study concluded. Undocumented immigrants have lower felony arrest rates than legal immigrants or native-born Americans, another study found.
Why? Consider migrants’ motives. Many risk their lives by crossing dangerous jungles, rivers and deserts through Latin America to reach the U.S. so they can find better jobs that offer higher pay. In many cases, they are fleeing crime and violence back home. If they came here illegally, they have an incentive to avoid trouble with the law so they do not get caught by the authorities and deported.
The bottom line
People have legitimate reasons to be frustrated with illegal immigration and to worry about what happens at the border. Liberal mayors have learned as much in the past few years; the surge of illegal immigrants to their cities has drained public resources, particularly housing. A porous border also contributes to security concerns, such as the flow of fentanyl and the risk of terrorism. When an undocumented immigrant does commit a crime, it can lead to a sense of lawlessness and chaos.
But more immigration has not caused more crime. The myth that crime is up can perpetuate stereotypes and racism. Immigrants who arrived in New York recently told The Times that local residents were often hostile. They make rude comments under their breath or move away in subway cars. One Venezuelan lamented that people now saw all migrants in the same way: “violent.”
Related: The brother of a woman killed on a scenic trail — a crime in which an undocumented immigrant has been arrested — spoke at the Republican convention.
Laurie is big and bold proclaiming when lifted up high and secluded in his pulpit or telling his stories streamed for all on cable television but so cowardly when in Trumps presence offering to pray for him while the Apostle Paul while imprisoned by Imperial Rome was noted for true gospel conversations as noted in Acts:
“As he reasoned with them about righteousness and self-control and the coming day of judgment, Felix became frightened.”
Laurie is after glory and Hibbs bullies the body while wimping out and telling Trump ( He is really just embellishing his ego) to improve his relationship with God.
Sad , how a pulpit and notoriety can slowly but surely erode the virtue and vitality of one who started well but exchanged notoriety for maturity of stewarding a ministry after the pattern of Jesus.
Michael,
The Cato Institute has some good resources and studies on immigration.
https://www.cato.org/search/topic/92
And this is not some progressive left-wing organization. But the data and studies they have prove your points here.
But then for MAGA cultists, it looks like math is too hard:
https://www.cato.org/blog/crimes-rates-are-better-way-judge-immigrant-criminality-number-crimes
Trump’s guy actually said in written testimony with the House Committee on Oversight and Accountability, Subcommittee on National Security, the Border, and Foreign Affairs “Crime rates do not matter, only the raw number of crimes and the harm caused by those crimes.”
As for the sibling who was killed by the illegal immigrant, it is a tragedy, but the statistics show that that a family member is more likely to kill the sibling than an immigrant. All this pulling on the heartstrings bs is what the proggies on the left were supposedly known for.
Re: immigration.
Yeah, never underestimate the power of a good, juicy narrative to get in the way of facts.
And then there is TESCREAL:
https://www.npr.org/2024/07/17/g-s1-11654/five-things-to-know-about-jd-vances-connections-to-tech-billionaires
Terry,
The irony is that Vance blasts big Tech in his speeches while at the same time is very much in bed with them.
R’as and Terry
So does Elon. Go figure.
Everybody wants to rule the world, just on their terms.
The only reason Elon Musk bought Twitter was to soothe his fragile ego after his girlfriend left him for a transgender ex-con.